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Exit poll shows a dominant Conservative victory.
Conservatives in full control of Parliament, and Britain one step closer to leaving the European Union, an exit poll showed.
Those were the early takeaways of the British general election.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson seems to have won a strong majority for his Conservative Party in Parliament on Thursday, according to an exit poll that suggested his campaigning on one issue — Brexit — had paid off the party among voters.
If the poll proves accurate, Mr. Johnson should have the support he needs to take Britain out of the European Union early next year, a huge victory for him after months of division, vitriol and chaos at home over how to complete the divorce with the Continent.
Now Mr. Johnson, whose bare-knuckled tactics in the Brexit battle provoked a rebellion in his own party and a rebuke from the Supreme Court, appears poised to lead Britain through its most significant transition in 50 years.
The exit poll projected that the Conservatives would win 368 seats in the House of Commons, and that the opposition Labour Party would win 191: an 86-seat majority for the Conservatives. The poll, conducted by the BBC and the broadcasters ITV and Sky News, was not a final result but is considered generally reliable.
As of 3 a.m. in London, about 200 of Parliament’s 650 seats had been declared, according to the BBC.
The British pound rose as much as 2 percent against the dollar after the poll results were released, its strongest level since June 2018.
Holding a minority government and facing intractable opposition in Parliament, Mr. Johnson gambled that a general election could reshuffle the cards in his favor, and win support for the Brexit plan he negotiated with the European Union. His predecessor, Theresa May, similarly sought to improve her position with a general election in 2017 — only to see her plan backfire.
This time, the vote seems likely to influence Britain’s immediate future.
It seemed certain to quash what hope “Remainers” still had for a second referendum. It would free Mr. Johnson from relying on lawmakers from Northern Ireland who had propped up his government — and opposed the terms of his Brexit plan. And it was a crushing blow to the Labour Party, which is projected to have one of its worst defeats in decades.
“Boris Johnson can now start the process of Brexit,” said Tony Travers, a professor of politics at the London School of Economics. “There will be stability of a kind in British politics and in Britain’s approach to Brexit, although not a single aspect of Brexit will have been sorted out.”
Mr. Johnson will face a withered opposition in the Labour Party, which had trailed the Conservatives in polls throughout the election campaign. Labour’s apparent collapse on Election Day is likely to draw calls for the resignation of its leader, Jeremy Corbyn.
Jeremy Corbyn says he will not lead the Labour Party in another election.
Speaking to supporters in the borough of Islington early Friday morning, Jeremy Corbyn, said he would not lead the Labour Party in “any future general election campaign,” acknowledging the emphatic defeat his party suffered.
But Mr. Corbyn said he would stay on as leader for the time being, saying he wanted to ensure a process “of reflection on this result and on the policies that the party will take going forward.”
He added, “I will lead the party during that period to ensure that discussion takes place, and we move on into the future.”
Even if the exit poll is marginally off, the opposition Labour Party seems headed for a historically bad defeat, an outcome so damaging that it has put Mr. Corbyn under huge pressure to resign. In his statement, Mr. Corbyn called it “a very disappointing night.”
If the exit poll holds up, the Conservatives’ 86-seat margin over Labour would be a difference the opposition would have to live with for five years, and it could take a decade or more to overcome, analysts said.
John McDonnell, the shadow chancellor and Mr. Corbyn’s close ally, told the BBC on Thursday night that the result, if anywhere near correct, was “extremely disappointing.”
As to Mr. Corbyn’s future, he promised “appropriate decisions,” but blamed the projected outcome on the election’s being dominated by Brexit rather than Mr. Corbyn’s agenda of nationalizations, tax increases and an enormous rise in social spending.
If Labour’s seat tally dips to 191 as projected, that would make it the party’s weakest performance since before World War II — worse than the 1983 result achieved by Michael Foot, who offered the country a left-wing manifesto that was described by one Labour politician at the time as “the longest suicide note in history.”
Though many in Labour were eager to avoid a winter election in the context of Brexit, Mr. Corbyn was confident he could repeat his relative success of 2017, when he deprived the Conservatives of a majority. But he apparently failed to capture the magic he had generated in that campaign.
If it is confirmed that the Labour leader failed to win two consecutive general elections, Mr. Corbyn’s position would look increasingly untenable. The last party leader to fail twice was Neil Kinnock, who resigned after losing general elections in 1987 and 1992.
There are now likely to be intense discussions inside the Labour Party over tactics for the leadership election that everyone expects, with the left of the party eager to retain its grip.
For Labour voters, ‘Oh, Jeremy Corbyn!’ Then, despair.
In the Lexington, a Central London pub near a Labour Party stronghold, hundreds of people waited for a towering projector to display the results of the first exit poll of Britain’s general election — what many had called the most important in a generation.
“Oh, Jeremy Corbyn!” some chanted, invoking the name if their party leader, who holds a seat in nearby Islington.
In the moments before the poll was released, an excited countdown filled the pub — “five, four, three, two, one” — only to evaporate in a collective gasp. Then there was near silence as the Londoners registered what the poll had showed: one of the worst defeats for Labour in years.
“I quit smoking, but I really need a cigarette right now,” said Ashley Cory, 31, a systems manager.
A woman named Sara, who did not want to give her last name because she works for the National Health Service, said she felt sick. “I don’t think people understand the impact,” she said.
Some held out hope that the poll’s projection would prove off when the official counts rolled in.
“They have gotten it wrong before,” said Michela Bertaglia, a 42-year-old production manager. She said she had voted for Labour, hoping for a hung Parliament, although she does not truly trust Mr. Corbyn, whom she called “too far left.”
James Lancaster, a 28-year-old Conservative parish councilor from Hitchin and Harpenden, let out a scream of delight at the sight of the exit poll. That made him a distinct minority in the pub, now seething with disgruntled Labour voters.
“I’m impressed,” Mr. Lancaster said, though he thought the final margin would narrow. He said he liked Prime Minister Johnson. “He’s got faults like every leader,” he said, “but he is a powerful person.”
Mr. Lancaster said he managed to make a new friend in the room, a Labour voter named Steve Pitt, despite the rancor that has pervaded British politics in the last few months.
“Politics does matter, but it’s really important to talk about it with the people behind the policies,” said Mr. Pitt, 33.
“I even bought his drink,” Mr. Lancaster said.
Scottish independence push may come roaring back.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party wasn’t the only projected big winner in the general election on Thursday. The other, the exit poll says, was Nicola Sturgeon, the leader of the pro-independence Scottish National Party, known as the S.N.P.
That could spell trouble for Mr. Johnson down the road.
The S.N.P.’s projected win of 55 of Scotland’s 59 seats, a gain of 20, would exceed all expectations and put the party in a position of almost total dominance in Scottish politics. The authors of the exit poll warned that their data from Scotland was the least extensive, and therefore should be treated with more caution.
If the findings are correct, however, that would mean that once Mr. Johnson breaks the deadlock on Brexit, which seems all but inevitable now, he may well confront a growing constitutional crisis over Scottish independence.
Mr. Johnson is unpopular in Scotland, where his bumbling, upper-class, English persona tends to go down badly. But the Tories had expected to hold many of their 13 seats there by playing up their opposition to Scottish independence, on which public opinion there is about evenly split.
The exit poll suggested, however, that most Scottish voters placed greater emphasis on stopping Brexit. With that now certain to proceed, the tensions between London and Edinburgh are almost certain to increase.
In her first reaction to the exit poll, Ms. Sturgeon was guarded, arguing that while it suggested a good night for the S.N.P., “it is just an exit poll and there are many marginals, so let’s just wait and see.”
She added in a Twitter post, “What it indicates UK wide though is grim.”
The result, if it holds up, would be the second best in the S.N.P.’s history, just one short of the 56 seats it secured in 2015 before it fell back to 35 two years later.
Mr. Johnson has ruled out the possibility of another vote on Scottish independence, which was rejected in a 2014 referendum. But Ms. Sturgeon, citing the changed circumstances introduced by Brexit, has demanded the right to hold another vote.
Official results are expected early on Friday.
In the cold and the rain, Britons trudged through the doors of community centers, churches, pubs and former miners’ clubs to cast ballots in a pivotal election underlined by the country’s 2016 referendum on leaving the European Union.
It was the third general election since 2015 and the first to be held in December in nearly 100 years. Voters chose representatives for their local districts in Parliament: 650 lawmakers in all for the House of Commons, which decides the country’s laws and chooses the prime minister.
While Brexit has dominated the campaign — Prime Minister Boris Johnson of the Conservative Party put the issue at the center of its campaign and vowed to “get Brexit done” — other major issues may determine the outcome. The opposition Labour Party, led by Jeremy Corbyn, had focused on health care and had framed itself as the defender of the cherished National Health Service.
Polls closed at 10 p.m. British time (5 p.m. Eastern). Official results are expected overnight.
There were long lines in London and beyond.
Voters across London described crowded polling stations, posting photographs of the long lines. Few said that their ability to vote was affected, but many noted that such delays were unusual in Britain.
One voter, Ed O’Meara, shared pictures from his polling station, in the Balham and Tooting area of South London, that showed a line stretching out the door and up the road.
A voter at a different polling site in Balham described a 20-minute wait. Those casting ballots outside the capital described similar scenes.
“That’s the first time I’ve ever had to queue & wait outside of a polling station in order to exercise my right,” wrote one Twitter user identified as John E. Walsh, who shared a photograph said to be taken in Cambridge.
Under a cold, steady rain in Bolsover, which has voted for Labour since 1950, people trudged through the doors of community centers, churches, pubs and former miners’ clubs to vote.
Having overwhelmingly backed Brexit in the 2016 referendum, the constituency was a prime target of the Conservative Party, and voters on Thursday said they largely bought Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s message that democracy demanded Brexit be carried out.
That Boris Johnson may not have been their ideal candidate hardly mattered.
“I think he’s a bit of a bumbler,” Catherine Elliott said outside a polling station in Barlborough, a village in the north of the district, after voting for Mr. Johnson.
“I think we just need to get on with Brexit,” Phil Fisher said a short time later. “Maybe we need someone like Boris to succeed.”
A number of lifelong Labour Party voters said they would vote Conservative in the interest of delivering Brexit. Others, though, said attachments to their longtime local Labour lawmaker, Dennis Skinner, ran too deep to change sides.
“He’s a local man; he’s been here for years and years and years, and I don’t think his views change,” Lorraine, who declined to share her last name, said before polls closed. “He’s very solid, forthright and opinionated, and I like what he stands for.”
The University of Essex also shared a video of dozens of students waiting to vote, calling the turnout “fantastic.”
Several voters in the Anfields area of Manchester, England, described long lines, and voters in Edinburgh, Scotland, said that lines had formed outside polling stations by 8 a.m., just an hour after the polls opened.
In this campaign, disinformation became ‘normalized.’
In the run-up to the election, manipulated Twitter accounts, doctored videos and dodgy websites became part of everyday life in Britain.
When an accurate story about a young boy being forced to lie on the floor in an overcrowded hospital quickly became an election issue, disinformation was at the fore in the form of a social media campaign to discredit the boy’s family.
While questions have been raised about foreign meddling and international disinformation campaigns, a surprising amount of questionable behavior and content has come from the political parties and candidates themselves.
The use of disinformation techniques by political leaders, particularly Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party, points to an evolution in how the internet is being used to grab attention, distract the news media, stoke outrage and rally support.
“This is the election where disinformation was normalized,” said Jacob Davey, a senior researcher at the Institute for Strategic Dialogue, a London-based group that tracks global disinformation campaigns.
“A few years ago people were looking for a massive coordinated campaign from a hostile state actor. Now, many more actors are getting involved.”
Reporting was contributed by Mark Landler, Stephen Castle, Amie Tsang, Iliana Magra, Andrew Testa, Ceylan Yeginsu, Megan Specia, Adam Satariano, Benjamin Mueller and Patrick Kingsley.
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U.K. General Election 2019: A Big Night for Conservatives, Exit Poll Shows - The New York Times
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